Futures and Options -
Analysis and Strategies
Wednesday, September 23
09.00 - 09.15 Welcome and Introduction
09.15 - 12.00 Brief Review of Futures and Options Mechanics
- Types of Contracts
- Pay-Off Profiles
- Instruments and Markets
Analysis of Forwards and Futures
- The “Cost-of-Carry” Model
- Fair forward price
- Implied Repo Rate
- Valuing FX Forwards
- Valuation of Futures in General
- Difference between forwards and futures
- The role of daily settlement
- The delivery option and the CTD Bond
- Exercises
12.00 - 13.00 Lunch
13.00 - 16.30 Analysis of Options
- Value and P&L Diagrams
- Minimum Option Value
- Put/Call Parity
- “Intrinsic” and “Time Value”
- Simple Option Pricing Model
- The Black-Scholes/Black Models
- Option Price Sensitivities (“Greeks”)
- Computer Simulations and Exercises
- The Cox-Ross-Rubinstein Model
- Setting up the pay-off tree
- Valuing American call and put options
- Valuing Interest Rate Options
- Computer Simulations
- Exercises
Thursday, September 24
09.00 - 09.15 Recap
09.15 - 12.00 Trading with Futures and Options
- What is a “Trading”?
- Open position vs. relative value trading
- The Trading Process
- Formulating expectations
- Establishing a risk profile
- Search and selection of strategies
- Selecting the appropriate contract (strike, maturity etc.)
- Open Position Trading
- Bull Strategies
- Long future, long call, bull spread, long semi-future,…
- Bear Strategies
- Short future, long puts, short calls, bear-spreads,…
- Computer Simulations
12.00 - 13.00 Lunch
13.00 - 16.30 Trading with Futures and Options (continued)
- Volatility Strategies
- Butterflies
- Straddles
- Strangles
- Condors
- Workshop: Design Butterfly
- Workshop: “Twin Peaks”
- Spread Trading
- “Straddles”
- Intra-market spreads
- Inter-market spreads
- Calendar spreads
- Trading Weather, Energy, and Macro Futures and Options
- Follow-up Strategies
- Exercises
Friday, September 25
09.00 - 09.15 Recap
09.15 - 12.00 Hedging with Futures and Options
- What is Hedging?
- The Hedging Process
- Identifying risks
- Quantifying risks
- Choosing hedging instruments
- Calculating the hedge ratio
- The importance of basis risk
- Implementation and follow-up
- Single Position “One-to-One” Hedge
- Hedge with futures, put options or call options?
- Portfolio Hedging
- Hedging a portfolio of stocks
- Hedging a portfolio of bonds
- Hedging a currency position
- Hedging uncertain cash flows
- Hedging contingent cash flows
12.00 - 13.00 Lunch
13.00 - 16.30 Hedging with Futures and Options (continued)
- Dynamic Hedging Strategies
- Pro-cyclical and counter-cyclical strategies
- Constant Proportion Portfolio Insurance with Futures
- Hedging with Weather, Energy, and Macro Futures and Options
- Hedging of Market-maker Positions in Futures and Options
- Hedging futures with repos/cash instruments
- Delta-hedging of options positions
- Hedging of gamma and vega risks
- Exercises
Evaluation and Termination of the Seminar